Division of Support Operations

Five-Year Plan & Capital Budget

Enrollment Projections, Forecasting, Demographics, and Economy

Crowd

Annual Enrollment Forecasting is the basis of determining the need for future additional facilities in the Five-Year Capital Plan.  Enrollment projections by school are updated each year by March for five years into the future.  Aggregate projections for ten and twenty years are also prepared.  The current five-year planning period is School Year 2011-12 (FY2012) through School Year 2015-16 (FY2016).  Demographic trends and the economy are important factors, which influence future enrollments by school and area.  The district utilizes a cohort survival forecasting model to derive the five-year projections.

For projections by school, please select “School Concurrency” from the menu at left, then click on Concurrency Service Areas - Table under Related Documents.

The links below provide information regarding County Demographics, Enrollment History, Contributing Factors, Aggregate Five-Year Plan Projections, and 10- and 20-Year Projections:

 

County Demographics & Economy
Enrollment History & Contributing Factors
Enrollment Projections
Enrollment Projections Narrative
10- and 20-Year Enrollment Projections
10- and 20-Year Enrollment Projections Notes